Meredith Whitney has come down hard on the municipal bonds and she is getting a lot of heat from others, including David Rosenberg. But even if she is wrong, bonds of all sorts are bad investments because the US dollar is going to hell in a hand basket. But what about shrinking credit which causes deflation? I am no economist but here is why I think QE causes inflation while credit expansion is less inflationary:
Inflation is caused by too much money supply chasing too few goods. Money supply can be created through credit expansion or through QE. Credit expansion results in the creation of goods and services such as building of houses and manufactured goods, for every time a business borrows, its creates more real wealth in the form of its products. Every time a home owner buys a house with a mortgage, the demand for new housing goes up and it results in larger supply of homes, i.e., more goods. Thus, though credit expansion can obviously create bubbles, it also results in the increase of goods and services.
QE, quantitative easing, or the monetization of debt results in a disproportionate demand for goods and service without the creation thereof. This is because the US federal debt is being monetized, and the US government in turn gives the money to government workers, pensioners, social security, welfare, food stamps, etc. I.e. to people who increase demand without increasing the quantity of goods and services. This increased demand, too many dollars chasing to few goods, devalues the dollar.
And this is why I think that QE leads to inflation and why it is much worse than credit expansion.