Paper-Gold Fraud Now Out In The Open by Jeff Nielson

In Paper-Gold Fraud Now Out In The Open, Jeff Nielson makes the point, that I made in an earlier post, that the market price of gold is manipulated, offering the supply crunch of physical gold as the proof.  Here are some interesting tidbits:

The virtues of (actual) “free markets” are well-known to anyone familiar with basic market dynamics: they self-correct. If supply exceeds demand, the price falls to a sufficient level to discourage more supply and encourage more demand – until those simultaneous dynamics achieve equilibrium: supply and demand matching, with prices stable.

Conversely, where demand exceeds supply; prices must rise sufficiently so that more supply is encouraged and more demand is discouraged, until once again equilibrium is achieved. Thus a permanent supply-deficit is ipso facto proof of price-suppression.

The problem with the price-suppression of any kind of physical “good” is always the same, one inevitably runs out of inventory as the repressed supply and excessive demand caused by artificially low prices means that buyers will always outnumber sellers.

Now this should help explain why investor grade bars and coins are not available at bullion stores–the price is manipulated too low.  Buyers are readily available but sellers are scarce, and so physical metal is not available.

Disclosure:  I own Sprott Physical Gold Trust and Sprott Physical Silver Trust

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The physical gold market vs. phoney gold markets

The phoney silver and gold markets, e.g., the London and New York exchanges, trade in multiples of paper in relationship the actual available physical metal.  Today, a call to my local coin dealer shows that the market price is far too low.  The Canadian PMX expects to have one ounce physical coins including silver American Eagles, Silver Rounds, Maple Leafs, Philharmonics, and bars; and 1 oz gold Maple Leafs, bars, and Philharmonics only by the middle of January.  This means:  (1) the mints can’t keep up with the investor demand because the current market price is too low; (2) no one who actually already owns physical species of precious metals in the Toronto area are bringing their coins to Canadian PMX to redeem them at these pathetically low market prices.  Thus, those with physical metal know that they are holding value, while the current paper market in which traders pass back and forth many multiples of paper metal with little physical backing is an absolute farce.

I remember those who came from manipulated markets in the Soviet bloc countries during the cold war had severe supply demands.  I heard a testimony once that people would stand in line at markets for a long time, not even knowing what was for sale.  When you final came to the front of the line, they might be selling left shoes size ten, and you would buy them, as many as you could, because you never knew when you might have another chance to buy something.

Currently, the physical market is very tight. If buyers have a chance to put their hands on physical metal, they should.  You never know the next time you’ll have a chance.

Disclosure:  I currently have positions in Sprott Physical Gold Trust and Sprott Physical Silver Trust.

1.5 Billion Sprott Physical Silver Trust Share Offering Closed

The 1.5 billion dollar Physical Silver Trust appears to have sold out, at least whatever allotment that TD Waterhouse reserved for their clients.  That took less than 24 hours.

Update:  The following article says that the PSLV raised only 270 million.  That is still an enormous amount of silver.

Sprott Physical Silver Trust Prices Follow-on Offering of Trust Units In An Aggregate Amount of US$269,575,000

New Public Offering ($1.5 billion) of Sprott Physical Silver Trust

Eric Sprott has publicly stated that he would like to be the to whom the silver market says that there is no more physical silver to be found and that they fail it is to him that it fails to deliver. Will this be the final squeeze that pushes out the paper market?

Sprott Physical Silver Trust Announces Follow-on Offering of Trust Units

Nov 8, 2012

TORONTO, Nov. 8, 2012 /CNW/ – Sprott Physical Silver Trust (the “Trust”) (NYSE: PSLV) (TSX: PHS.U), a trust created to invest and hold substantially all of its assets in physical silver bullion and managed by Sprott Asset Management LP, announced today that it has launched a follow-on offering (the “Offering”) of transferable, redeemable units of the Trust (“Units”).

The Trust will use the net proceeds of the Offering to acquire physical silver bullion in accordance with the Trust’s objective and subject to the Trust’s investment and operating restrictions described in the prospectus related to the Offering. Under the trust agreement governing the Trust, the net proceeds of the Offering per Unit must be not less than 100% of the most recently calculated net asset value per Unit of the Trust prior to, or upon determination of, pricing of the Offering.

The Units are listed on NYSE Arca and the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbols “PSLV” and “PHS.U”, respectively. The Offering will be made simultaneously in the United States and Canada by underwriters led by Morgan Stanley and RBC Capital Markets in the United States and RBC Capital Markets and Morgan Stanley in Canada.

Copies of the U.S. prospectus related to the Offering may be obtained by contacting Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC, 180 Varick Street, 2nd Floor, New York, New York 10014 Attention: Prospectus Department (telephone 866-718-1649 (toll free) or 917-606-8474) or by e-mailing prospectus@morganstanley.com, or RBC Capital Markets, LLC, Attention: Prospectus Department, Three World Financial Center, 200 Vesey Street, 8th floor, New York, New York 10281-8098 (telephone: 212-428-6670, fax: 212-428-6260). Copies of the Canadian prospectus related to this Offering may be obtained by contacting RBC Capital Markets, Attention: Distribution Centre, 277 Front St. W., 5th Floor, Toronto, Ontario M5V 2X4 (fax: 416-313-6066) or Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC, 180 Varick Street, 2nd Floor, New York, New York 10014 Attention: Prospectus Department (telephone 866-718-1649 (toll free) or 917-606-8474) or by e-mailing prospectus@morganstanley.com. The Offering in Canada is only being made by the Canadian prospectus, which includes important detailed information about the Units being offered.

This news release does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the Units, nor shall there be any sale of the Units in any state or jurisdiction in which such an offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such jurisdiction.

SOURCE: Sprott Physical Silver Trust

David Morgan on the value of silver

This video is over a year old, but I don’t think any of the fundamentals have changed.  There is a funny point in the video when he talks about how he became an adviser to Eric Sprott before formation of Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV).  He says it took them a year to obtain the $1 billion worth of the physical silver which the basis of the PSLV.  On the other hand, he said it took no time at all for SLV to obtain 30 million oz of silver.  He stresses, then, that SLV is great for increasing awareness in silver as an investment and it is fine for trading a silver position, but no one should see it as their basic silver position.